vMVPDs alone no threat to pay TV

Some industry analysts are saying that streaming services (Sling, YouTube TV, etc) are no threat to traditional pay TV.

What is a vMVPD? Similar to traditional pay-TV, but delivered over the internet and can be purchased separately from broadband. Think getting your TV channels from YouTube TV and your internet from Comcast.

Why do they believe this? A large part of this belief is that consumers will repackage a large enough share of their current channels (ESPN, Fox News, etc.) to drive the cost above what they are currently paying.

Why might this be wrong? If given the choice, then consumers are not going to pay for channels that they do not intend to watch. For example, a non-sports fan will most likely not pay $8/month for a sports channel.

A quick reminder. The cable companies are charging non-pay TV customers 35% more for broadband access than those that buy a package.

The streaming wars (monthly cost):
1) Hulu Live — $40
2) DirecTV Now — $35
3) Sling TV — $20
4) PlayStation Vue — $40
5) YouTube TV — $35
6) Verizon — TBD
7) Charter — $20
8) CenturyLink — $15
9) Comcast Instant TV — $18

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