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Full Circle: Streaming TV Prices Approach Cable Packages They Seek To Replace

Big news: YouTube TV and Fubo raised their live-TV prices to $65 per month.

Why this matters: Streaming pay-TV packages (vMVPDs) launched with low prices, but have increased steadily.

Key passage from Protocol:“Let’s just call this what it is: cable! Sure, the apps are better and it’s easier to cancel…but this is just cable TV. Because it turns out, for all the tech companies’ wherewithal and leverage, they couldn’t break the way the TV business works.”

Bottom line #1: YouTube TV is losing money even after this increase due to its programming costs.  For example, the chart below shows a leaked example of programming costs from 2019.

Bottom line #2: Streaming pay-TV services cannot offer channels a la carte, which causes the base package price to increase as channels are added.

YouTube TV prices (YoY growth):
1) 2017 – $35
2) 2018 – $40 (↑ 14%)
3) 2019 – $50 (↑ 25%)
4) 2020 – $65  (↑ 30%)

YouTube TV subscribers (YoY growth):
1) 2017-Q4 – 300K
2) 2018-Q4 – 1M (↑ 233%)
3) 2019-Q4 – 2M  (↑ 100%)

Interesting: YouTube TV was already seeing a deceleration in sign-ups before the price increase.

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